
- Crude Oil Speculators
- By Byron A. Ellis –
May 06, 2009
It is time for
President Obama to let the crude oil industry know that a return to
speculative crude oil prices is not in the nation’s best interest. The price
of gasoline has been steadily inching upwards in the absence of supply
pressures.
Apparently, big oil
believes that the Administration is preoccupied and will not detect creeping
gasoline price increases.
Historically, in the
United States spikes in crude oil prices precede recessions. A large body of
research suggests that spikes in crude oil prices have considerable adverse
effects on the economy.
The vast majority of
futures crude oil trading is done by the oil industry itself. A New York
Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) studies suggest that the oil industry accounts
for about 85 percent of trading.
This would imply that
the oil industry itself bids up the future prices of crude oil by purchasing
crude oil in the present to be delivered at some predetermined future date
and price.
When speculators
increase future demand, they artificially bid up the price of crude oil,
even in the absence of shortages. As the price of crude rises, consumers pay
more for energy and energy related commodities from their fixed income.
Thus, there is a
wealth transfer from consumers to speculators, energy conglomerates and
energy producing nations. As a result, consumers have less disposable income
to purchase other necessities or commodities.
The ability of oil
traders to bid up crude oil prices through NYMEX is not beneficial to
average Americans. In fact, it jeopardizes the nation’s economic wellbeing
and security.
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